Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.280178 3.907965 4.659092 5.634670 6.884022 8.452208 1.060498e+01
2024-10-06 2.384276 3.134109 4.155554 5.691797 8.023743 11.574819 1.770354e+01
2024-10-13 1.906073 2.653309 3.753244 5.566996 8.648736 14.029098 2.509949e+01
2024-10-20 1.667041 2.432670 3.635271 5.783099 9.824071 17.859903 3.764807e+01
2024-10-27 1.435463 2.168203 3.375875 5.668115 10.342309 20.693322 5.056941e+01
2024-11-03 1.350254 2.117392 3.450578 6.161306 12.234256 27.575405 8.213804e+01
2024-11-10 1.240459 2.003373 3.386330 6.360635 13.574457 34.047642 1.229854e+02
2024-11-17 1.164001 1.933734 3.387268 6.692212 15.385042 43.327601 1.965129e+02
2024-11-24 1.060112 1.797571 3.232451 6.633275 16.152152 49.956160 2.768747e+02
2024-12-01 0.985296 1.705377 3.149483 6.721454 17.396329 59.681315 4.211368e+02
2024-12-08 0.916379 1.615163 3.054870 6.756361 18.511573 70.260076 6.420894e+02
2024-12-15 0.875396 1.574889 3.060965 7.056441 20.694036 89.128283 1.170004e+03
2024-12-22 0.799430 1.464518 2.916662 6.982377 21.822521 106.453381 2.103001e+03
2024-12-29 0.738501 1.380153 2.824285 7.056809 23.756146 135.132189 4.855081e+03
2025-01-05 0.673818 1.278157 2.669697 6.893125 24.605468 159.085889 1.049568e+04
2025-01-12 0.639249 1.237032 2.656567 7.176784 27.840502 218.407165 4.869649e+04
2025-01-19 0.589522 1.155284 2.525405 7.025754 28.811099 259.321634 2.032609e+05
2025-01-26 0.577036 1.156878 2.612179 7.675130 35.019677 419.372565 7.987318e+08
2025-02-02 0.550661 1.122234 2.594448 7.938726 39.332238 600.233491 NaN
2025-02-09 0.531937 1.103415 2.617482 8.378612 45.638924 947.048879 NaN
2025-02-16 0.499630 1.047316 2.522972 8.300297 47.975982 1228.670623 NaN
2025-02-23 0.475679 1.009420 2.476264 8.417488 52.322129 1773.080663 NaN
2025-03-02 0.452050 0.969722 2.417631 8.463914 56.271938 2534.967471 NaN